U.S. Primary Elections and Implications for Ukraine Policy

Recent U.S. primary elections have produced mixed outcomes for lawmakers who have supported continued American assistance to Ukraine. While some pro-Ukraine voices advanced, others faced setbacks, reflecting the ongoing debate within U.S. politics over the role of American support in the war.

As the election cycle continues, several races may shape the future composition of Congress and influence how the United States approaches security assistance to Ukraine.

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Key Primary Results and Ukraine Policy

In Texas, Senator John Cornyn finished first in his Republican primary contest against Attorney General Ken Paxton. Cornyn has been a consistent supporter of Ukraine and has backed continued military and financial assistance to Kyiv.

Paxton’s stance on Ukraine policy has been less clearly defined during the campaign, making the outcome of the race notable for supporters of continued U.S. engagement.

On the Democratic side, candidate positions on Ukraine vary. Representative Jasmine Crockett, who has at times aligned with members of the progressive congressional “Squad,” may take a more cautious approach to U.S. military assistance depending on how the broader policy debate evolves.

Loss of a Pro-Ukraine Voice in Congress

One significant development was the primary defeat of Representative Dan Crenshaw, who had been one of the more outspoken Republican supporters of Ukraine.

Crenshaw frequently argued that supporting Ukraine was critical for maintaining U.S. global credibility and deterring future aggression from authoritarian states. His loss removes a prominent pro-Ukraine voice from the House Republican conference.

North Carolina Senate Race

In North Carolina, the Senate primary to replace Senator Thom Tillis—a strong supporter of Ukraine—produced a candidate who appears broadly favorable toward continued U.S. engagement with Kyiv, though the candidate’s detailed policy position remains less clearly defined.

The outcome of the general election will determine whether the seat continues to be held by a lawmaker supportive of Ukraine-related security assistance.

House Races and Progressive Candidates

At the House level, the defeat of a candidate aligned with the progressive “Squad” in North Carolina may indicate continued electoral resistance to candidates who have been more critical of U.S. military assistance to Ukraine.

Progressive critics of Ukraine aid have argued that U.S. resources should focus more on domestic priorities, while supporters maintain that assisting Ukraine strengthens global security and deters authoritarian aggression.

Looking Ahead: Georgia Special Election

Attention will also turn to the upcoming special election in Georgia to replace Representative Marjorie Taylor Greene, who has frequently opposed U.S. aid to Ukraine.

The race could potentially bring a new member of Congress with a different position on Ukraine assistance, making it a closely watched contest for advocates of continued U.S. support.

Take Action with Your Members of Congress

Your voice matters. Contact your Members of Congress and urge them to support legislation ensuring that Russia pays for the damage caused by its invasion of Ukraine.

The REPO Implementation Act would enable the United States to use frozen Russian sovereign assets to support Ukraine’s defense and reconstruction.

👉 Support H.R. 5835: REPO Implementation Act: https://www.amukr.org/support-hr-5835-repo-implementation-act

👉 Support S. 2918: REPO Implementation Act: https://www.amukr.org/support-s-2918-repo-implementation-act

Conclusion

The early primary results highlight the evolving debate in American politics over support for Ukraine. While some pro-Ukraine lawmakers have faced electoral challenges, others continue to advance in competitive races.

As the election cycle progresses, the composition of the next Congress will play a critical role in determining the future scope and scale of U.S. support for Ukraine.

Resources & Further Readings

New York Times — “Ukraine Helps U.S. Bases in the Mideast With Stopping Drones”
https://www.nytimes.com/2026/03/09/world/middleeast/ukraine-shahed-drone-middle-east

AIPAC – “Primary Election Update (Email Communication)”
https://view.act.aipac.org/?vawpToken=SAI7UNB3RD4UTC6DNJEVKWSTPE.70252

Associated Press – “The first midterm primaries of 2026, by the numbers”
https://apnews.com/article/midterm-primaries-texas-north-carolina-results-takeaways

270toWin – “Overview and Live Results: Texas, North Carolina, Arkansas Midterm Election Primaries”
https://www.270towin.com/news/2026/03/02/overview-live-results-texas-north-carolina-arkansas-midterm-election-primaries

Al Jazeera – “US midterm primary season kicks off in shadow of Iran war”
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/3/3/us-midterm-primary-season-kicks-off-in-shadow-of-iran-war